More on the Paris climate agreement

As usual, John Oliver manages to be entertaining and informative in this piece on why withdrawing from the Paris Climate Agreement makes no sense.


Link: https://youtu.be/5scez5dqtAc

Meanwhile, Trump’s fellow billionaire Sir Richard Branson (a considerably more successful businessman than Trump, in fact), said Friday, “I’ve got a feeling that the president is regretting what he did” in announcing the U.S. with withdraw from the Paris Agreement, calling Trump’s decision “a bizarre mistake.” As mentioned in a previous post (and Oliver explains in more detail above), Trump’s stated complaints about the Paris Climate Agreement were nonsense. The U.S. sets its own targets and faces no penalties if it fails to meet them. Meanwhile major businesses from Apple and Microsoft to major oil companies to Walmart and Target united in opposing withdrawal, saying that the Paris Climate Agreement if anything actually benefits the U.S. economy.



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Governors of both parties oppose repealing Obamacare

Despite the fact that the Senate GOP’s healthcare plan is dead in the water, the following is still relevant. The Republican leadership still plans to vote on a straight repeal of the Affordable Care Act (with the actual effect possibly to be postponed until shortly after the midterm election in 2018), and that implies canceling the expansion of Medicaid. This is the main objection raised by governors of both parties at the U.S. National Governors Association’s summer meeting in Providence, Rhode Island. This three-minute report from Sunday’s PBS News Hour explains some of their concerns.


Link: https://youtu.be/3dNUJMZ2qoQ

Another problem is that repealing the Affordable Care Act, whether it goes into effect immediately or in the future, is necessarily going to destabilize healthcare markets. It will also cause huge problems for individuals contemplating early retirement, starting a business, or otherwise thinking about leaving a job that gives them health insurance. The Affordable Care Act assures them they can get a policy on the individual market. Without the Affordable Care Act they’re taking a gamble.

The ACA has its problems, but every major proposed so far has problems as well, and very possibly worse ones. The only exception would be a true expansion of Medicare to everyone, including Medicare Advantage. That way people would still be able to obtain private insurance if the preferred and they would also be able to buy Medigap policies. That would preserve consumer choice and the private health insurance industry rather than force everyone into a pure single-payer system. (Single-payer has its virtues, but the loss of choice would scare a lot of people.)



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Hans Rosling: The best statistics you’ve ever seen

A week ago I posted a talk by professor Hans Rosling of the Karolinska Institute in Sweden, who tragically died of pancreatic cancer earlier in 2017. Here’s another talk of his from 2007 that everyone should see. The overall message is that the world has serious problems, but in many respects the world is getting better faster than you probably realize. This doesn’t mean we can relax and stop worrying. It means just the opposite: That our efforts are paying off, and we need to keep it up.


Link: https://youtu.be/hVimVzgtD6w

For more see this previous post.



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Libertarian Game of Thrones parody

This is pretty funny, and the possible spoilers are vague enough that even if you’re not caught up through the last season of Game of Thrones they probably won’t hurt your enjoyment of the series when you get around to it.


Link: https://youtu.be/ojubI-sYwho

I quite enjoyed watching this, but I can’t let it pass without some griping.

First, it presents in passing a commonplace but serious misconception about how Social Security is designed to work and predictably mislabels it a “Ponzi scheme.” I wrote a post debunking such misconceptions back in 2012 and multiple other posts on the same general topic over the years, so I won’t rehash it now.

The video also misleads with respect to the national debt. Debt can certainly be a problem, but it can also be useful when servicing it is affordable and the borrowed sum is spent responsibly on things that save or make money. That’s why businesses, individuals, and governments routinely borrow, as any self-respecting pro-business Libertarian really ought to know.

In passing, I like to remind people that the last two presidents to balance the federal budget were Bill Clinton and Lyndon Johnson. Johnson did it at the height of the War in Vietnam, the War on Poverty, and the Apollo Moon program, and Clinton ran surpluses so large during his second term that the national debt was on track to be paid off in a decade or so. In fact, thanks in part to economic growth, almost every president since World War II, from Harry Truman through Barack Obama, reduced the ratio of debt to gross domestic product. The exceptions were Gerald Ford (who held it pretty much steady during his relatively brief time in office) and Ronald Reagan and the two Bushes (who greatly increased it). Look it up.

Finally, I respectfully — well, not that respectfully — disagree with the notion that Libertarians advocate maximum individual liberty. My enthusiasm for individual liberty is the reason I’m not a Libertarian. The core fallacy of big-L Libertarianism is the notion that the only threats to liberty come from the government and those who use physical force. Would that things were so simple! This is the view taken to extremes by notorious crank Ayn Rand and the adolescents who haven’t outgrown her. (To be fair, most serious Libertarians I know try to distance themselves from Randian extremes. The head of my state’s Libertarian Party once told me over lunch that the hardest thing about being a Libertarian was having to deal with Ayn Rand nuts.)



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A simpler definition of a planet would include Pluto and over 100 other bodies in the solar system

A short article in the April 29 issue of Science News (originally published on line March 23, and yes, I am indeed behind in my reading) reports that a team of planetary scientists involved in NASA’S New Horizons mission to Pluto want to simplify the definition of “planet” in a way that would include Pluto and about 110 other bodies in our solar system.

Incidentally, New Horizon flew past Pluto two years ago Friday. I really need to time these posts better.

The authors of the proposal want to define a planet as any round object in space smaller than a star. That would restore planetary status to Pluto and also Ceres, which was originally considered a planet, then for a very long time an asteroid, and more recently a dwarf planet. It would also promote to planetary status large moons (including our own) and a lot of objects in the Kuiper belt and probably the Oort cloud.

The current official International Astronomical Union definition of a “planet,” which applies only in our solar system, requires that a planet orbit the Sun (and not another planet), be massive enough to assume a nearly round shape, and clear its orbit of debris. The last part of the definition has caused the most objections. The authors of the definition had a specific meaning in mind for clearing its orbit, but that meaning isn’t in the definition, and taken literally as written it would disqualify not just Pluto but Jupiter (look up “Trojan asteroids“) and most or all other planets.

Besides the virtue of simplicity, another advantage of the alternative definition is that it would apply not just in our solar system but everywhere, including exoplanets orbiting other stars or other planets and even rogue planets wandering freely through space, of which there are probably a vast number.

The proposal, presented at the Lunar and Planetary Science Conference in Woodlands, Texas, March 21, was authored by Kirby Runyon of Johns Hopkins University, S. Alan Stern and Kelsi Singer of the Southwest Research Institute, Tod Lauer of the National Optical Astronomy Observatory, Will Grundy of the Lowell Observatory, and Michael Summers of George Mason University.

See also this article at Science Daily.



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Aaron Carroll on the latest version of the Senate GOP healthcare bill

Indiana University pediatrics professor Aaron Carroll MD offers on of the clearest succinct descriptions I’ve seen of the Senate Republicans’ latest attempt at a bill to “repeal and replace Obamacare” as they like to call it.


Link: https://youtu.be/xa4dLts5nVw

Medical organizations, patient advocates, health insurance companies, and a lot of Republican governors have expressed strongly negative opinions of the bill, and opinion polls continue to show that the great majority of Americans don’t like what they’ve heard about the bill. Most would prefer to see a bipartisan effort to improve the current law.

Incidentally, it turns out that about 3/4 of the Obamacare premium increases projected for next near are caused not by rising healthcare costs but by worries that even if the new healthcare bills fails Republicans will still damage the current law’s funding mechanisms. More on that shortly.



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Seeing air

I remember watching a short documentary on schlieren photography in college. It’s a technique that allows you to see air currents, temperature differences, and other things that are usually invisible.

What’s impressive about the Veritasium video below is the remarkable simplicity of the setup. Well, that plus the strange and sometimes beautiful results.


Link: https://youtu.be/4tgOyU34D44



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Cheap, unreliable drug test kits send innocent people to jail

In this segment from early June Samantha Bee talks about cheap drug test kits used in the field by police that are generate a lot of false positives.

In theory the kits are supposed to be be used only as a preliminary screening test to avoid spending a lot of money on ordinary substances that only look like they might be illegal drugs. In practice, it’s not uncommon for people to be locked up on the basis of a preliminary test and then pretty much coerced into a false guilty plea because getting reliable test results can take so long that the innocent arrestees can actually spend a lot less time in jail by pleading guilty than by waiting for proof of their innocence to come in. Also, too many courts accept field test results as if they were accurate.

But if you’ve got money, you can hire a lawyer, get bonded out, get a test done at your own expense, and get the case thrown out. If you don’t, you can get a public defender who doesn’t have time to listen to you and a judge who just assumes you’re guilty because hey, you’re poor, especially if you’re also not white, and if you try to plead not guilty he tells you he’s going to sentence you to 20 years.

Think that’s an exaggeration? Watch what happens below to two innocent people, only one of whom has money. The poor guy’s test results don’t come back until nearly a year after gets out of prison, and they say the trace substance found in his car wasn’t a controlled substance after all. And even then, it takes another five years for him to be exonerated.


Link: https://youtu.be/CE5o4JoyMkE



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Jim O’Heir made out with Aubrey Plaza

Jim O’Heir is an actor who looks something like me, or would if he grew a beard and had less hair and was shorter. And yet he got to make out with Aubrey Plaza because Aubrey Plaza thought it would be funny. I think it would have been even funnier if she’d made out with me.

On the other hand, the snogging in question took place during a reunion of the cast of Parks and Recreation on Late Night with Seth Meyers. I wasn’t part of that because I wasn’t a cast member of Parks and Recreation, probably owing to the fact that I have no talent as an actor. It’s so unfair.

Anyway, here’s a clip of the incident in question:


Link: https://youtu.be/y8AFXum1W4g

And here’s O’Heir explaining how it happened and how he relied on kissing advice from Rob Lowe:


Link: https://youtu.be/mfhPBgBj6DM

And here he is explaining it again:


Link: https://youtu.be/DegCXFiu9kE

Aubrey Plaza has been in a lot of other things, including the strange but enjoyable not-quite-time-travel film Safety Not Guaranteed (2012), reviewed here.



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Net neutrality

Net neutrality basically says that companies providing provide Internet access can make money charging for bandwidth, but they can’t use their monopoly power to extort extra payments from successful Internet businesses, large and small, by threatening to block or slow down access. It’s one of the few things that’s pretty obviously a matter of good versus evil, with net neutrality on the side of you, me, the angels, and pretty much everybody who isn’t a cable or telephone company.

That includes Democrats, Republicans, liberals, conservatives, libertarians, big businesses, small businesses, YouTube creators, Internet users, and literally everybody I know I’ve heard express an opinion on it.

Net neutrality is what we have right now, but telephone and cable companies are pushing to change that in order to rake in more income without actually delivering more value. Of course, they say that the reason they oppose net neutrality is because it gets in the way of their ability to “innovate,” which is true only if you redefine “innovate” to mean “get money for nothing.”

But bear in mind that the new head of the FCC is actually opposed to net neutrality. Why? Well, he used to be a lawyer for Verizon and would probably like to get an even better-paying job with them in the future. So net neutrality is right now in serious jeopardy, not exaggeration.

You can tell the FCC not to change the rules and preserve Internet freedom and neutrality by clicking this direct link to the FCC website:

https://www.fcc.gov/ecfs/search/proceedings?q=name:((17-108

In this video Vi Hart explains the importance of net neutrality and why it’s threatened.


Link: https://youtu.be/l6UZUhRdD6U

Previous posts on net neutrality can be found here.



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