The government shutdown is ridiculous

As you surely know, Congress and the president failed yesterday to create a budget despite a near-consensus on what the final result should be. Here’s all they have to do:

  • Fund the government at something like last year’s level, with some increases for defense and domestic spending to address increased needs.
  • Fix the DACA problem Trump created
  • Fund the Children’s Health Insurance Program (CHIP) that enjoys bipartisan support and actually saves a little money because without it spending on other programs would automatically go up.

That’s it. Disagreements over details can be solved by compromises.

Here’s some background:

Prior to 1976, the U.S. budget year ran from July through the following June. This gave Congress half of a year develop a spending plan and allocate funds. Sometimes that got a little tight, so starting in 1976 the start of the budget (or “fiscal”) year was delayed until October 1, giving Congress an additional three months. That ought to be enough, but apparently it isn’t. In recent years the budget has not been finalized until sometime past October 1, and in the meantime Congress passes so-called “continuing resolutions” (CRs) to keep spending going at more or less the previous years’ levels until a final budget could be worked out.

Several CRs have been passed since the fall of 2017 and there’s still no budget in sight. The latest CR failed when five Republican senators voted against cloture to block a filibuster: Jeff Flake of Arizona, Lindsey Graham of South Carolina, Mike Lee of Utah, and Rand Paul and Mitch McConnell, both of Kentucky. There are only 51 Republicans in the Senate, and Senator McCain is away getting medical treatment in Arizona. Senator McConnell, the Majority Leader, didn’t actually oppose the CR but voted against if for parliamentary reasons. Graham and others have said that it’s time to stop passing CRs and do a budget, since the sides are close enough together that it shouldn’t be hard.

The supposed major bone of contention is doing something about so-called Dreamers (as in “the American Dream”) — people illegally brought to the U.S. as children, who have lived here for many years, and for the most part are in school or have jobs and clean records. It wasn’t their fault they were brought here and the U.S. is their home. It makes little sense to send them to a country they barely remember, if at all, especially when they’ve been educated at American expense and are now paying taxes (or about to start) and contributing to the U.S. economy. Opinion polls show strong support for letting them remain and apply for citizenship. President Trump has said he wants them to remain. Senators Graham and Durbin, along with Minority Leader Schumer and others, worked out a compromise that gave the Republicans pretty much everything they wanted: No citizenship for the parents of Dreamers and no “chain migration” for their relatives, and on top of that funding for Trump’s border wall. But this offer was rejected by Trump for no clear reason.

The other part of the bill is funding for CHIP. That program has bipartisan support, and it turns out that not funding it would end up costing the government more because most of the children in question would end up with other forms of insurance that actually cost the government more.

This is just ridiculous. Republicans should accept the Graham-Durbin-Schumer-et-al proposal (which actually gives them everything they asked for) and CHIP and at the very least pass a continuing resolution even if they can’t get together on the current year’s budget details.

This is silly.

Update 2018 January 24: I previously credited Senators Graham and Schumer with a compromise immigration proposal, leaving out Dick Durbin and others involved. I’ve corrected that above. Also, the government is temporarily back open under a compromise that funds CHIP for six years and promises a Senate vote on an immigration proposal in the next couple of weeks. If Senator McConnell fails to fulfill his promise on an immigration bill (as he has failed to fulfill promises to several of his fellow Republicans in order to get their votes on the tax bill), the Democrats have leverage to demand attention to the Dreamers matter in February.



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Rising mortality for women giving birth in the United States

The number of infants and mothers who die around the time of birth is worse in the U.S. than in the rest of the developed word. We’re making progress in reducing infant mortality, but maternal mortality is actualy getting worse.

Part of the reason for our relatively high infant mortality rate has to do with the way the U.S. calculates it. Except for Canada, other countries use a different measure. But even taking that into account, the U.S. trails other advanced countries. The good news is that we’re getting better. (See for example this report.) The problem also varies a lot from state to state. This chart from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention shows that newborns die at a much higher rate in Ohio, Indiana, Oklahoma, Arkansas, Tennessee, Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, and Georgia than they do on the West Coast, New York, New Jersey, and most of New England.

This doesn’t mean that giving birth is dangerous in absolute terms. In the U.S. fewer than 0.03 percent of live births leave to the death of the mother. But that rate has gone up by more than half since the year 2000, and it’s worse than in Canada or Western Europe.

A report by ProPublica and NPR last May suggested that part of the problem may be a strong focus on reducing infant mortality that leads to a relative neglect of the mother’s health. Here’s an interview with one of the report’s authors that aired last Mother’s Day on the PBS NewsHour:


Link: https://youtu.be/nWUMQGD713M

Last week Samantha Bee’s Full Frontal featured a segment on the problem, noting that it’s even worse in rural areas, where many hospitals have been forced to shut down their maternity departments, forcing women to travel long distances for prenatal care and or to get emergency help if problems develop during the birth.


Link: https://youtu.be/CA6A3ZlGlH8

(Updated January 21 in an effort to improve clarity.)



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More very short movies

Here are a couple more very short films I liked, following up on the collection of 15-minute scary films featured Monday.

Picture Perfect: 30 seconds of romance from Jay Haynes


Link: https://youtu.be/zCryyt48AAA

Early Bird: a minute of dark comedy from the HeavyMetalFlute YouTube channel


Link: https://youtu.be/GExCGPgViBo

The first was created by Jay Haynes and stars himself and his wife Jayme. Their son Neil was the camera operator. I don’t know them, but Jay runs an interesting YouTube channel with tutorials explaining how to do special effect with HitFilm Pro and HitFilm Express. HitFilm is excellent video editing and effects software, and the Express version (not as powerful as Pro but still remarkably good) is free.

I know nothing about the people behind the second film except that the YouTube channel belongs to a professional musician.

The short film competition mentioned is one created by the Shiny Films YouTube channel, which also offers free filmmaking tutorials using HitFilm and the powerful free imaging and animation software Blender.



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Evidence-based approaches to discouraging drug abuse have other benefits

In a column published yesterday in The New York Times, public health researcher Austin Frakt discusses ways of attacking the deadly opioid crisis that save money, have tested with good results, and have a number of other benefits. They involve a combination of broad education and targeted intervention to discourage people from abusing addictive drugs to start with. This may sound like the old Drug Abuse Resistance Education (D.A.R.E.) programs of the past, but the new ideas appear to be more sophisticated and are borne out by research.

Obviously, it’s unlikely these programs will miraculously eliminate such a large and complicate problem. But if they can reduce the harm and do so at low-enough cost, they can be worth trying. A bonus is that it appears to be possible to reduce a spectrum of bad behaviors at once — not just drug use but bullying and some types of criminal behavior.

The Times article and the paper it references are briefly summarized by pediatrician and Indiana University professor Aaron Carroll in this video:


Link: https://youtu.be/uWY5dUtO4t0



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15-second scary movies

The 15 Second Horror Film Challenge is an international ultra-short-film competition. For more information see http://15secondhorror.ca. There you can also find out about the 2018 competition, open now until October 15.

Below are my personal favorites among the top 20 of the 2017 edition. I prefer eerie to bloody, but be warned brief gore (and a tiny bit of mildly foul language) can be found in some of the films below. I’ve arranged them into a viewing order that seems appropriate to me but that reflects neither by my relative rating nor the placement in the competition, though the latter can be found at the top of each video.

Paradox by Shahzad Ali


Link: https://youtu.be/5NQg5LUqe78

Emma by Daniel Limmer


Link: https://youtu.be/mto2mNFbrps

Free Fallin by Derek Bensonhaver


Link: https://youtu.be/w-PIemSOlig

Good Night by LUMA Films


Link: https://youtu.be/K8vCult4o4s

VR by Richard Addlesee


Link: https://youtu.be/OcoLm7IQ_W0

Making Faces by Andrew J.D. Robinson


Link: https://youtu.be/2DuqYmhY6hU

Bad Timing by Cameron Fife


Link: https://youtu.be/NULtV_k_dVc



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